Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.009801 0.011641 0.013883 0.016864 0.020803 0.025952 0.033402
2025-08-24 0.007167 0.009172 0.011898 0.016024 0.022411 0.032520 0.051209
2025-08-31 0.006068 0.008170 0.011253 0.016391 0.025412 0.042277 0.081974
2025-09-07 0.005166 0.007193 0.010324 0.015908 0.026680 0.049703 0.117100
2025-09-14 0.004473 0.006385 0.009454 0.015223 0.027223 0.055984 0.159594
2025-09-21 0.004050 0.005920 0.009039 0.015215 0.029113 0.066903 0.242858
2025-09-28 0.003813 0.005715 0.009017 0.015939 0.032973 0.086994 0.449131
2025-10-05 0.003706 0.005706 0.009333 0.017445 0.039634 0.125444 1.166576
2025-10-12 0.003511 0.005514 0.009267 0.018087 0.044353 0.165302 3.163346
2025-10-19 0.003252 0.005173 0.008853 0.017793 0.046043 0.194384 8.034557
2025-10-26 0.003068 0.004951 0.008643 0.017955 0.049477 0.244384 48.823204
2025-11-02 0.002869 0.004678 0.008289 0.017657 0.051109 0.288199 1756.268071
2025-11-09 0.002610 0.004287 0.007675 0.016641 0.049908 0.311535 NaN
2025-11-16 0.002391 0.003955 0.007155 0.015795 0.049160 0.343228 NaN
2025-11-23 0.002280 0.003825 0.007061 0.016154 0.054209 0.485306 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002129 0.003598 0.006718 0.015681 0.054983 0.577795 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001982 0.003368 0.006338 0.015009 0.054351 0.647919 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001888 0.003238 0.006178 0.015001 0.057530 0.875736 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001841 0.003200 0.006231 0.015711 0.065915 1.570849 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001831 0.003239 0.006478 0.017187 0.081976 4.572666 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001781 0.003187 0.006487 0.017816 0.093193 12.594370 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001698 0.003055 0.006273 0.017528 0.096193 24.418536 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001638 0.002971 0.006175 0.017687 0.104153 104.032963 NaN